Two expectation gives 72% Dearness Allowance (DA) from July 2012 as illustrated below:
First Expectation:
It is presumed that AICPIN will stand constant i.e. 205 for May, 2012 and June 2012:
Expected Dearness Allowance DA for July, 2012 calculated as under:
Dearness Allowance = (Avg of AICPI for the past 12 months – 115.76)*100/115.76
|
Month
|
Base Year 2001 = 100
|
Total of 12 Months
|
Twelve monthly
Average |
% increase over
115.76 for DA |
DA announced or will
be announced |
|
Aug-11
|
194
|
2234
|
186.17
|
60.82%
|
65%
|
|
Sep-11
|
197
|
2252
|
187.67
|
62.12%
|
|
|
Oct-11
|
198
|
2269
|
189.08
|
63.34%
|
|
|
Nov-11
|
199
|
2286
|
190.50
|
64.56%
|
|
|
Dec-11
|
197
|
2298
|
191.50
|
65.43%
|
|
|
Jan-12
|
198
|
2308
|
192.33
|
66.15%
|
|
|
Feb-12
|
199
|
2322
|
193.50
|
67.16%
|
72%
|
|
Mar-12
|
201
|
2338
|
194.83
|
68.31%
|
|
|
Apr-12
|
205
|
2357
|
196.42
|
69.68%
|
|
|
May-12
|
205
|
2375
|
197.92
|
70.97%
|
|
|
Jun-12
|
205
|
2391
|
199.25
|
72.12%
|
|
|
Jul-12
|
Expected DA from Jul-2012
|
||||
Second Expectation:
It is presumed that AICPIN will increased maximum by 4 (no chance) i.e. 209 for May, 2012 and 213 for June 2012:
Expected Dearness Allowance DA for July, 2012 calculated as under:
Dearness Allowance = (Avg of AICPI for the past 12 months – 115.76)*100/115.76
|
Month
|
Base Year 2001 = 100
|
Total of 12 Months
|
Twelve monthly
Average |
% increase over
115.76 for DA |
DA announced or will
be announced |
|
Aug-11
|
194
|
2234
|
186.17
|
60.82%
|
65%
|
|
Sep-11
|
197
|
2252
|
187.67
|
62.12%
|
|
|
Oct-11
|
198
|
2269
|
189.08
|
63.34%
|
|
|
Nov-11
|
199
|
2286
|
190.50
|
64.56%
|
|
|
Dec-11
|
197
|
2298
|
191.50
|
65.43%
|
|
|
Jan-12
|
198
|
2308
|
192.33
|
66.15%
|
|
|
Feb-12
|
199
|
2322
|
193.50
|
67.16%
|
72%
|
|
Mar-12
|
201
|
2338
|
194.83
|
68.31%
|
|
|
Apr-12
|
205
|
2357
|
196.42
|
69.68%
|
|
|
May-12
|
209
|
2379
|
198.25
|
71.26%
|
|
|
Jun-12
|
213
|
2403
|
200.25
|
72.99%
|
|
|
Jul-12
|
Expected DA from Jul-2012
|
||||
Now it is clear that Expected DA will be 72% means 7% increase in Dearness allowance from July-2012.
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COMMENTS
According to the present rules for calculating pension, basic pay, rank pay (of Armed Forces Officers) and dearness Pay is taken into account. Dearness Allowance and technical pay is omitted.
When was dearness pay last given by the government? Was it when DA became more than 50% of pay and was merged with pay?
VK Singh
Is there no business than expecting the increase in nearness allowance?
As per price hike of the commodities and petrol/diesel, Govt should increase the DA 10% from July'2012. Otherwise stop the hike of price of commodities……
In m face book I have got one valuable message written in the stepney tire of scooter that "begging is better than getting bribe"
Keeping in-view of the steep hike in essential commodities, DA should be enhanced to 12% wef Jul 2012
As per the steep hike in essential commodities, DA should be enhanced to 10% wef Jul 2012
Nice and unique article on Dearness Allowance from July, 2012. Please provide DA Calculation Sheet in Excel Document.
Month – May-12
Base Year 2001 = 100 – 203
Total of 12 Months – 2373
Twelve monthly Average – 197.75
% increase over 115.76 for DA – 70.83%
Month – Jun-12
Base Year 2001 = 100 – 204
Total of 12 Months – 2388
Twelve monthly Average – 199.00
% increase over 115.76 for DA – 71.91%
In above case Expected DA from Jul-2012 will be 71%
What is the expectation of DA from July 12 for decreased AICPN to 203 in May and 204 in June.